Applications of Machine Learning to Predicting Core-collapse Supernova Explosion Outcomes

Speaker: 
Benny Tsang
Institution: 
Berkeley
Date: 
Tuesday, March 28, 2023
Time: 
2:00 pm
Location: 
ZOOM

ABSTRACT:

Most existing criteria derived from progenitor properties of core-collapse supernovae are not very accurate in predicting explosion outcomes. We present a novel look at identifying the explosion outcome of core-collapse supernovae using a machine-learning approach. Informed by a sample of 100 2D axisymmetric supernova simulations evolved with FORNAX, we train and evaluate a random forest classifier as an explosion predictor. Furthermore, we examine physics-based feature sets including the compactness parameter, the Ertl condition, and a newly developed set that characterizes the silicon/oxygen interface. With over 1500 supernovae progenitors from 9−27 Me, we additionally train an autoencoder to extract physics-agnostic features directly from the progenitor density profiles. We find that the density profiles alone contain meaningful information regarding their explodability. Both the silicon/oxygen and autoencoder features predict the explosion outcome with ≈90% accuracy. In anticipation of much larger multidimensional simulation sets, we identify future directions in which machine-learning applications will be useful beyond the explosion outcome prediction.

PAPER LINK:

https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://iopscience.iop.org/article/10.3847/2041-8213/ac8f4b/pdf__;!!CzAuKJ42GuquVTTmVmPViYEvSg!LV5duIattINJQgWpr8AI6M2cBGkTw1GoNHaPgqaZnsehZAYNSk-pE0AWPv7KOPHEbGNEUsJADuSANTOMb44rWSrL-w$

 

ZOOM LINK: https://uci.zoom.us/j/98698545082

Host: 
Daniel Whiteson